Industry Statistics and Trends
Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)
Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 6.2 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $21.8bn in 2024.
Trends and Insights
Staffing issues are constraining industry capacity
- Over the past decade, childcare centres have had to hire additional staff to meet the National Quality Framework's (NQF) minimum educator-to-child ratio and staff qualification requirements. Employers have also had to pay higher wages to staff, reflecting the higher qualifications required by the NQF.
- Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Source: Alfabank-Adres
Industry outlook (2024-2029)
Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.
Trends and Insights
Workforce challenges will constrain growth in the immediate future
- Ongoing skilled labour shortages are currently curbing childcare services’ growth. Internet vacancy data collected by the Department of Jobs and Skills Australia shows over 8,000 vacancies in the sector in late 2023, with many childcare centres forced to cap enrolments because of insufficient staff.
Biggest companies in the Child Care Services in Australia
| Company | Market Share (%)
2025 | Revenue ($m)
2025 |
|---|---|---|
Goodstart Early Learning | 1,540.0 | |
G8 Education | 1,080.0 | |
Affinity Education | 625.0 |
To view the market share and analysis for all 5 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.
Products & Services Segmentation
Source: Alfabank-Adres
Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Long day care, Family day care and Outside school hours care. Long day care is the largest segment of the Child Care Services in Australia.
Trends and Insights
Numerous long day care centres have opened, expanding the market
- Long day care providers mainly care for children below school age who have working parents. Childcare centres, kindergartens, preschools and early learning centres can provide long day care services, which can be all full- or part-time.
- More insights available in the full report
Table of Contents
About this industry
Industry definition
Industry organisations provide childcare services, mostly to children under 12 years of age. These services include long day care, family day care, occasional care, outside school hours care and vacation care. Long day care centres that provide early childhood education services as part of the Federal Government’s preschool program are included in the industry, but separate preschools are excluded.
What's included in this industry?
Long day careOutside school hours careFamily day careCompanies
Goodstart Early LearningG8 EducationAffinity EducationPurchase this report to view all 5 major companies in this industry.
Related Terms
COMMUNITY-BASED CENTRELONG DAY CARE CENTRECHILD CARE BENEFIT (CCB)CHILD CARE REBATE (CCR)CHILD CARE SUBSIDY (CCS)Industry Code
ANZSIC 8710 - Child Care Services in Australia
Performance
Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.
Analyst insights
The Child Care Services industry has faced a series of challenges in recent years. Staffing shortages are among the biggest challenges facing the industry, with many childcar...
In this chapter (4)
- Current Performance
- Outlook
- Volatility
- Life Cycle
Key metrics
- Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
- Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
- Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
- Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business
Charts
- Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
- Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
- Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
- Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
- Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
- Industry Life Cycle
Detailed analysis
- Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
- Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
- Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
- How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.
Products and Markets
Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.
Analyst insight
Childcare services’ two main product segments, long day care and outside school hours care, cater to two distinct age cohorts. These are the zero-to-four and five-to-twelve a...
In this chapter
- Products & Services
- Major Markets
Key metrics
- Largest market segment and value in 2024
- Product innovation level
Charts
- Products & services segmentation in 2024
- Major market segmentation in 2024
Detailed analysis
- Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
- Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
- Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
- Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services
Geographic Breakdown
Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.
Analyst insights
The industry’s two major players have significant geographic footprints. However, most childcare providers operate on a regional, state or city basis.
In this chapter (1)
- Business Locations
Charts
- Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
- Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024
Tables
- Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
- Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
- Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
- Number and share of employees in each region in 2024
Detailed analysis
- Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
- Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage
Competitive Forces
Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.
Analyst insights
Competition is low, as childcare centres are localised and their facilities tend to cater for children living nearby. Nearly 80.0% of childcare providers operate only one chi...
In this chapter (4)
- Concentration
- Barriers to Entry
- Substitutes
- Buyer & Supplier Analysis
Key metrics
- Industry concentration level
- Industry competition level and trend
- Barriers to entry level and trend
- Substitutes level and trend
- Buyer power level and trend
- Supplier power level and trend
Charts
- Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
- Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart
Detailed analysis
- Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
- Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
- Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
- Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
- Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
- Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
- Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
- Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
- Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.
Companies
Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.
Analyst insights
Corporate interest in the childcare sector has grown over the past decade, with the entry of new for-profit ASX-listed players and private equity capital. This has contribute...
In this chapter
- Market Share Concentration
- Companies
- Company Spotlights
Charts
- Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
- Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
- Overview of Goodstart Early Learning's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
- Overview of G8 Education's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
- Overview of Affinity Education's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
- Overview of revenue, market share and profit margin trend for 2 additional companies
Detailed analysis
- Description and key data for Goodstart Early Learning, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
- Description and key data for G8 Education, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
- Description and key data for Affinity Education, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
- Description, key data and performance trends for 2 additional companies
External Environment
Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.
Analyst insights
Government funding for child care has become increasingly important for revenue growth over the past decade. The government has budgeted $14.5 billion in childcare subsidies ...
In this chapter
- External Drivers
- Regulation & Policy
- Assistance
Key metrics
- Regulation & policy level and trend
- Assistance level and trend
Charts
- Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029)
- Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029)
Detailed analysis
- Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
- Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
- Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.
Financial Benchmarks
View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time.
Analyst insights
The many small-scale businesses and the industry’s overall fragmentation influences childcare services’ profitability. The ownership split between not-for-profit organisation...
In this chapter
- Cost Structure
- Financial Ratios
- Key Ratios
Key metrics
- Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
- Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
- Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
- Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio
Charts
- Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
- Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
- Investment vs. share of economy
Data tables
- Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
- Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
- Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
- Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
- Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
- Average Wage (2014-2029)
- Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
- Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
- IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
- Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
- Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)
Detailed analysis
- Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability
Key Statistics
Industry Data
Data Tables
Including values and annual change:
- Revenue (2014-2029)
- IVA (2014-2029)
- Establishments (2014-2029)
- Enterprises (2014-2029)
- Employment (2014-2029)
- Exports (2014-2029)
- Imports (2014-2029)
- Wages (2014-2029)
Top Questions Answered
Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.
What is the market size of the Child Care Services industry in Australia in 2024?
The market size of the Child Care Services industry in Australia is $21.8bn in 2024.
How many businesses are there in the Child Care Services in Australia industry in 2024?
There are 11,471 businesses in the Child Care Services industry in Australia, which has grown at a CAGR of 0.8 % between 2019 and 2024.
Has the Child Care Services industry in Australia grown or declined over the past 5 years?
The market size of the Child Care Services industry in Australia has been growing at a CAGR of 6.2 % between 2019 and 2024.
What is the forecast growth of the Child Care Services industry in Australia over the next 5 years?
Over the next five years, the Child Care Services industry in Australia is expected to grow.
What are the biggest companies in the Child Care Services market in Australia?
The biggest companies operating in the Child Care Services market in Australia are Goodstart Early Learning, G8 Education and Affinity Education
What does the Child Care Services in Australia include?
Long day care and Outside school hours care are part of the Child Care Services industry.
Which companies have the highest market share in the Child Care Services in Australia?
The company holding the most market share in Australia is Goodstart Early Learning.
How competitive is the Child Care Services industry in Australia?
The level of competition is low and increasing in the Child Care Services industry in Australia.
Related Industries
Widen your competitive advantage with related industries
Competitors
- Education and Training in Australia
- Preschool Education in Australia
Complementors
- Crisis and Care Accommodation in Australia
- Government Schools in Australia
International industries
- Day Care in the US
- Early Childhood Learning Centers in the US
- After-School Program Providers in the US
- Nursery Schools in the US
- Day Care in Canada
View all industries in Australia
Methodology
How are Alfabank-Adres reports created?
Alfabank-Adres has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.
Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for Alfabank-Adres readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of Alfabank-Adres’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.
Alfabank-Adres relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.
What data sources do Alfabank-Adres analysts use?
Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.
Key data sources in Australia include:
- Australian Bureau of Statistics
- Australian Taxation Office
- Australian Securities & Investments Commission
Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.
These sources include:
- Industry and trade associations
- Industry federations or regulators
- Major industry players annual or quarterly filings
Finally, Alfabank-Adres’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.
How does Alfabank-Adres forecast its data?
Alfabank-Adres’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.
Alfabank-Adres prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.
Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.
