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Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing in Australia - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Arna Richardson Arna Richardson Melbourne, Australia Last Updated: August 2024 ANZSIC OD5097

Revenue

$1.1bn

2024-25

$1.1bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XX.Xm

Employees

2,745

Businesses

212

Wages

$XXX.Xm

Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing in Australia industry analysis

Frozen cake and pastry manufacturers have faced numerous challenges in recent years. Changing consumer dietary and lifestyle trends have worked against the industry, as some consumers have cut back on high-calorie foods, like cakes and pastries, in favour of healthier snack and dessert alternatives. Other consumers have moved away from factory-produced frozen pies and pastries and towards fresh, unpackaged products. In addition, private-label products are growing in popularity, representing a major threat to the industry. This trend has constrained profit growth over the past five years, as have rising input costs. The COVID-19 pandemic also affected the industry's performance, influencing both demand and supply patterns.

Trends and Insights

  • Private-label pressures, competition from fresh-baked, unpackaged pies, and consumers’ rising health consciousness have constrained industry growth in recent years. In response, frozen cake and pastry manufacturers have rolled out innovative product ranges to capitalise on shifting consumer preferences.
  • The portion of industry revenue derived from each product category is shifting in line with changing diets and food consumption patterns. Changing distribution channels are also influencing each product segment’s relative importance.
  • Like the Cake and Pastry Manufacturing industry, frozen cake and pastry production is concentrated along the eastern seaboard. New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland account for the majority of industry activity.
  • As the industry's markets are sensitive to price fluctuations to varying degrees, price is a key point of competition. Price competition has become increasingly important in recent years as major supermarkets have aggressively promoted private-label products.

Access hundreds of analysis and data

  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 3.7 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $1.1bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

Challenging trading conditions have continued

  • Challenging trading conditions have beset the industry in recent years. Private-label pressures, competition from fresh-baked, unpackaged pies, and consumers’ rising health consciousness have constrained industry growth.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing in Australia
Revenue (2014-2029)
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Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Favourable growth drivers will support growth

  • The continuing popularity of frozen pastry staples is set to support soft revenue growth, especially as the humble meat pie has now been reimagined and reinvented.

Biggest companies in the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing in Australia

Company
Market Share (%)
2025
Revenue ($m)
2025
Mrs Mac's
132.0
Sara Lee
85.0
Sargents Pty Ltd
37.0

To view the market share and analysis for all 4 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing in Australia
Products & Services
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Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Frozen desserts, Frozen savouries and Frozen pastry. Frozen desserts is the largest segment of the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing in Australia.

Trends and Insights

Frozen savouries have gone upmarket

  • Products in the frozen savouries segment include meat pies, pasties, sausage rolls, quiches and other savoury finger foods. Many are considered staple foods and continue to perform well, even though consumers’ preferences are shifting towards healthier and premium options.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Industry firms manufacture frozen bakery products, including frozen cakes and pies, as well as frozen pastry.

What's included in this industry?

Frozen savouriesFrozen dessertsFrozen pastry

Companies

Mrs Mac'sSara LeeSargents Pty Ltd

Purchase this report to view all 4 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

PRIVATE LABELAUSTRALIA NEW ZEALAND FOOD STANDARDS CODEPREMIUMISATION

Industry Code

ANZSIC 2006

ANZSIC 1172 - Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing in Australia

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Private-label pressures, competition from fresh-baked, unpackaged pies, and consumers’ rising health consciousness have constrained industry growth in recent years. In respon...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

The portion of industry revenue derived from each product category is shifting in line with changing diets and food consumption patterns. Changing distribution channels are a...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets
  • International Trade

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level
  • Total imports, level and trend
  • Total exports, level and trend
  • Trade Balance

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024
  • International trade, including imports by country and exports by country

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services
  • Recent trends in import and export volumes, country of origin or destination, and expected future trends

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Like the Cake and Pastry Manufacturing industry, frozen cake and pastry production is concentrated along the eastern seaboard. New South Wales, Victoria and Queensland accoun...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

As the industry's markets are sensitive to price fluctuations to varying degrees, price is a key point of competition. Price competition has become increasingly important in ...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

The Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing industry includes many small-scale players. However, the strong market positions of Patties Foods, Mrs Mac's and Sara Lee tend to ove...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Mrs Mac's's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Sara Lee's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Sargents Pty Ltd's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of revenue, market share and profit margin trend for one additional company

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Mrs Mac's, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Sara Lee, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Sargents Pty Ltd, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description, key data and performance trends for one additional company

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

Rising disposable incomes are generally positive for the industry, especially for the takeaway segment, which relies on discretionary purchases. However, consumers with risin...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Individual cost structures vary depending on the type of products produced and operation size. While the industry's larger players are generally more profitable than smaller ...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing industry in Australia in 2024?

The market size of the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing industry in Australia is $1.1bn in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing in Australia industry in 2024?

There are 212 businesses in the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing industry in Australia, which has grown at a CAGR of 0.4 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing industry in Australia grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing industry in Australia has been growing at a CAGR of 3.7 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing industry in Australia over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing industry in Australia is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing market in Australia?

The biggest companies operating in the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing market in Australia are Mrs Mac's, Sara Lee and Sargents Pty Ltd

What does the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing in Australia include?

Frozen savouries and Frozen desserts are part of the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing in Australia?

The company holding the most market share in Australia is Mrs Mac's.

How competitive is the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing industry in Australia?

The level of competition is high and increasing in the Frozen Cake and Pastry Manufacturing industry in Australia.

Related Industries

Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

Competitors

  • Cake and Pastry Manufacturing in Australia

Complementors

  • Ice Cream Manufacturing in Australia
  • Biscuit Manufacturing in Australia
  • Chocolate and Confectionery Manufacturing in Australia

International industries

  • Global Bakery Goods Manufacturing
  • Frozen Cake & Pastry Manufacturing in the US
  • Bread & Bakery Goods Production in the UK

View all industries in Australia

Methodology

How are Alfabank-Adres reports created?

Alfabank-Adres has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for Alfabank-Adres readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of Alfabank-Adres’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

Alfabank-Adres relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do Alfabank-Adres analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in Australia include:

  • Australian Bureau of Statistics
  • Australian Taxation Office
  • Australian Securities & Investments Commission

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, Alfabank-Adres’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does Alfabank-Adres forecast its data?

Alfabank-Adres’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

Alfabank-Adres prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

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