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National and Regional Commercial Banks in Australia - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Matilda Reilly Matilda Reilly Melbourne, Australia Last Updated: September 2024 ANZSIC K6221a

Revenue

$231.3bn

2024-25

$231.3bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XX.Xbn

Employees

167k

Businesses

41

Wages

$XX.Xbn

National and Regional Commercial Banks in Australia industry analysis

Banks are grappling with a transition from years of loose monetary policy to tighter financial conditions. Soaring inflation has prompted an RBA pivot in the face of surging energy, housing and food prices. The RBA has hiked the cash rate multiple times since May 2022. Prior to this, banks cashed in on high residential housing prices, with low interest rates and government schemes encouraging strong mortgage uptake over the course of the pandemic. APRA also eased the interest rate buffer in 2019, before raising it in 2021. Recent interest hikes have pushed up banks' incomes over the past few years. Meanwhile, banks' interest deposit expenses and funding costs have also risen while climbing interest rates have subdued growth in industry profit margins over the past few years. Overall, industry revenue is expected to expand at an annualised 6.9% over the five years through 2024-25, to $231.3 billion. This includes an anticipated slump of 8.1% in 2024-25; as inflationary pressure shows signs of easing, the cash rate is set to decline, weighing on interest income.

Trends and Insights

  • Cash rate rises are challenging banks. The RBA’s sharp cash rate hikes are boosting interest rates, with banks getting more interest income per loan. However, interest expenses are also climbing.
  • High interest rates have hit home loans. In the home loans segment, high interest rates have meant greater returns from existing loans. On the other hand, steep borrowing costs are pricing some consumers out of new mortgages.
  • Sydney is Australia’s financial capital. New South Wales is home to most the branches, with banks setting up shop close to consumer, business and institutional markets.
  • The big four banks reign supreme. CBA, Westpac, NAB and ANZ control most domestic banking. These banks boast solid reputations, with extensive physical and digital presences that capture widespread customer bases.

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  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 6.9 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $231.3bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is fighting high inflation

  • In line with major central banks worldwide, the RBA has aggressively raised the cash rate over the past few years in a bid to tame severe inflation.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
National and Regional Commercial Banks in Australia
Revenue (2014-2029)
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Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

The RBA's monetary policy decisions are forecast to heavily influence banks’ performance moving forwards

  • With inflation indicating signs of slowing over the year, the cash rate is set to stabilise. Even so, relatively higher interest rates moving forward are set to affect demand for loans.

Biggest companies in the National and Regional Commercial Banks in Australia

Company
Market Share (%)
2025
Revenue ($m)
2025
NAB
57,300.0
Commonwealth Bank of Australia
47,800.0
Westpac
47,600.0

To view the market share and analysis for all 7 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

National and Regional Commercial Banks in Australia
Products & Services
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Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Home loans, Business loans and Personal lending. Home loans is the largest segment of the National and Regional Commercial Banks in Australia.

Trends and Insights

Banks are braced for change as cash rate hikes ripple through the home loans segment

  • The home loans segment comprises loans issued to owner-occupiers and investors to purchase residential property.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Industry enterprises are Australian-owned and -operated banks engaged in banking activities. National and regional banks primarily generate revenue through interest income on consumer and commercial loans, incurring liabilities through accepting deposits. Industry operators also generate revenue from investments, advances, fees and commission income.

What's included in this industry?

Home loansBusiness loansPersonal lendingBank accounts

Companies

NABCommonwealth Bank of AustraliaWestpac

Purchase this report to view all 7 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

BIG FOURNET INTEREST SPREADCASH RATECET1 (COMMON EQUITY TIER 1)NEOBANK

Industry Code

ANZSIC 2006

ANZSIC 6221 - National and Regional Commercial Banks in Australia

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Cash rate rises are challenging banks. The RBA’s sharp cash rate hikes are boosting interest rates, with banks getting more interest income per loan. However, interest expens...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

High interest rates have hit home loans. In the home loans segment, high interest rates have meant greater returns from existing loans. On the other hand, steep borrowing cos...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Sydney is Australia’s financial capital. New South Wales is home to most the branches, with banks setting up shop close to consumer, business and institutional markets.

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

The big four banks reign supreme. CBA, Westpac, NAB and ANZ control most domestic banking. These banks boast solid reputations, with extensive physical and digital presences ...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

Major banks focus on their core markets. The big four have restructured in recent years, cutting their global footprint to focus on core activities in Australian and New Zeal...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of NAB's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Commonwealth Bank of Australia's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Westpac's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of revenue, market share and profit margin trend for 4 additional companies

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for NAB, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Commonwealth Bank of Australia, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Westpac, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description, key data and performance trends for 4 additional companies

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

Capital adequacy ratio reforms will stabilise banks. New capital adequacy ratios came into effect in January 2023 to improve financial stability, with major banks forced to m...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Interest rate spread keeps banks profitable. Banks need to get more from their interest income than they spend on their interest expenses. Banks will have to manage their exp...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the National and Regional Commercial Banks industry in Australia in 2024?

The market size of the National and Regional Commercial Banks industry in Australia is $231.3bn in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the National and Regional Commercial Banks in Australia industry in 2024?

There are 41 businesses in the National and Regional Commercial Banks industry in Australia, which has declined at a CAGR of 0.5 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the National and Regional Commercial Banks industry in Australia grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the National and Regional Commercial Banks industry in Australia has been growing at a CAGR of 6.9 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the National and Regional Commercial Banks industry in Australia over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the National and Regional Commercial Banks industry in Australia is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the National and Regional Commercial Banks market in Australia?

The biggest companies operating in the National and Regional Commercial Banks market in Australia are NAB, Commonwealth Bank of Australia and Westpac

What does the National and Regional Commercial Banks in Australia include?

Home loans and Business loans are part of the National and Regional Commercial Banks industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the National and Regional Commercial Banks in Australia?

The company holding the most market share in Australia is NAB.

How competitive is the National and Regional Commercial Banks industry in Australia?

The level of competition is high and increasing in the National and Regional Commercial Banks industry in Australia.

Related Industries

Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

Competitors

  • Credit Unions and Building Societies in Australia
  • Non-Depository Financing in Australia
  • Foreign Banks in Australia
  • Buy Now Pay Later in Australia

Complementors

  • Superannuation Funds in Australia
  • Financial Asset Investing in Australia

International industries

  • Global Commercial Banks
  • Commercial Banking in the US
  • Savings Banks & Thrifts in the US
  • Private Banking Services in the US
  • Commercial Banking in Canada

View all industries in Australia

Methodology

How are Alfabank-Adres reports created?

Alfabank-Adres has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for Alfabank-Adres readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of Alfabank-Adres’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

Alfabank-Adres relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do Alfabank-Adres analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in Australia include:

  • Australian Bureau of Statistics
  • Australian Taxation Office
  • Australian Securities & Investments Commission

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, Alfabank-Adres’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does Alfabank-Adres forecast its data?

Alfabank-Adres’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

Alfabank-Adres prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.