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Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing in Australia - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Jack Fahey Jack Fahey Melbourne, Australia Last Updated: June 2024 ANZSIC C1701

Revenue

$11.5bn

2024-25

$10.4bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XXX.Xm

Employees

1,399

Businesses

172

Wages

$XXX.Xm

Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing in Australia industry analysis

The Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing industry has faced highly volatile conditions over recent years, as the COVID-19 pandemic wreaked turmoil on global energy supply chains. The global situation filtered down to Australia's petroleum market, contributing to the closure of two of Australia's last four remaining oil refineries. BP closed its refinery in Kwinana, while ExxonMobil shut down the Altona refinery. Both the closed refineries were converted into import terminals, which meant that they directly intensified import competition in the industry. Overall, industry revenue is expected fall at an annualised 11.5% over the five years through 2023-24, to an estimated $11.5 billion.

Trends and Insights

  • The industry is in a state of decline, following a series of refinery closures. Rising import competition has heavily weighed on the performance of petrol refineries in Australia, leading some major players to exit the industry.
  • High domestic demand in 2022 produced a surge in the production of automotive fuels. Local refineries sought to capitalise on favourable refining margins and hold ups in global supply chains to produce more petroleum for automotive transport.
  • The last refineries remaining in Australia are located in Victoria and Queensland. Over the past decade, global energy giants like BP and Shell have either divested or closed petrol refineries in Australia.
  • There are just two refineries left in Australia, which concentrates market share in the hands of Viva and Ampol. There are other smaller-scale operators, but the turnover compared to an oil refinery is miniscule.

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  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has declined at a CAGR of 11.5 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $11.5bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

Closures and competition have fuelled a long-term decline in local refinery production

  • According to the Australian Institute of Petroleum, in 2010-11 Australian refineries produced more than half the nation's domestic fuel needs. Since then this number has collapsed, as many major refineries closed and the industry struggled to compete with larger and more efficient refineries in Asia.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing in Australia
Revenue (2014-2029)
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Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to decline over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

High competition and falling prices present a significant challenge to local refiners

  • Production at Australia's last remaining refineries is projected to fall over the coming years. With just two left in operation, the industry will struggle to remain competitive with import competition on track to intensify over the period. Retailers and wholesalers will likely shift to imported fuel, especially if any local refineries undergo maintenance issues.

Biggest companies in the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing in Australia

Company
Market Share (%)
2024
Revenue ($m)
2024
Viva Energy
6,676.3
Ampol
4,333.1
IOR Energy
135.4

To view the market share and analysis for all 3 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing in Australia
Products & Services
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Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Automotive petroleum, Diesel and Aviation turbine fuel. Automotive petroleum is the largest segment of the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing in Australia.

Trends and Insights

Refiners seek to capitalise on domestic prices for automotive petroleum

  • The industry's product segmentation reflects refinery configuration and downstream demand. Typically, refineries are configured to maximise the output of in-demand petroleum products because of the physical limitations that crude oil inputs impose and the size of Australian refineries. Instead, refiners concentrate on supplying key transport fuels, like petrol.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Industry companies primarily refine crude oil or condensate (a light form of oil) to produce petrol, fuel oil, aviation fuel, grease base stock, petroleum gases and other petroleum products. Companies also blend materials into petroleum fuels and manufacture fuels from the liquefaction of petroleum gases. These products are then marketed by wholesalers and retailers, which may be owned by firms that operate the refineries.

What's included in this industry?

Automotive petroleumDieselAviation turbine fuelFuel oilLPGSynthetic petroleum

Companies

Viva EnergyAmpolIOR Energy

Purchase this report to view all 3 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

CATALYTIC HYDROCRACKINGNAPHTHAFRACTIONAL DISTILLATIONKEROSENE

Industry Code

ANZSIC 2006

ANZSIC 1701 - Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing in Australia

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

The industry is in a state of decline, following a series of refinery closures. Rising import competition has heavily weighed on the performance of petrol refineries in Austr...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

High domestic demand in 2022 produced a surge in the production of automotive fuels. Local refineries sought to capitalise on favourable refining margins and hold ups in glob...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets
  • International Trade

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level
  • Total imports, level and trend
  • Total exports, level and trend
  • Trade Balance

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024
  • International trade, including imports by country and exports by country

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services
  • Recent trends in import and export volumes, country of origin or destination, and expected future trends

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

The last refineries remaining in Australia are located in Victoria and Queensland. Over the past decade, global energy giants like BP and Shell have either divested or closed...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

There are just two refineries left in Australia, which concentrates market share in the hands of Viva and Ampol. There are other smaller-scale operators, but the turnover com...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

In 2022, Viva and Ampol successfully capitalised on a rapid upswing in refining margins. Prices were elevated, while global supplies were heavily constrained.

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Viva Energy's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Ampol's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of IOR Energy's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Viva Energy, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Ampol, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for IOR Energy, and factors influencing its performance in the industry

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

The number of motor vehicles and air kilometres flown is a key indicator of downstream demand. These numbers are projected to rise in 2023-24, presenting refiners with an opp...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Profit margins surged as pandemic restrictions eased in 2022. The price of refined fuel surged, while supply of imports was disrupted. Many wholesalers and retailers were for...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing industry in Australia in 2024?

The market size of the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing industry in Australia is $11.5bn in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing in Australia industry in 2024?

There are 172 businesses in the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing industry in Australia, which has grown at a CAGR of 4.5 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing industry in Australia grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing industry in Australia has been declining at a CAGR of 11.5 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing industry in Australia over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing industry in Australia is expected to decline.

What are the biggest companies in the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing market in Australia?

The biggest companies operating in the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing market in Australia are Viva Energy, Ampol and IOR Energy

What does the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing in Australia include?

Automotive petroleum and Diesel are part of the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing in Australia?

The company holding the most market share in Australia is Viva Energy.

How competitive is the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing industry in Australia?

The level of competition is moderate and increasing in the Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing industry in Australia.

Related Industries

Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

Competitors

  • There are no industries to display.

Complementors

  • Oil and Gas Extraction in Australia
  • Lubricants and Other Petroleum Product Manufacturing in Australia
  • Industrial Gas Manufacturing in Australia
  • Basic Organic Chemical Manufacturing in Australia
  • Gas Supply in Australia
  • Petroleum Product Wholesaling in Australia

International industries

  • Petroleum Refining in the US
  • Petroleum Refining in Canada
  • Petroleum Refining in the UK
  • Oil & Petroleum Refining in China

View all industries in Australia

Methodology

How are Alfabank-Adres reports created?

Alfabank-Adres has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for Alfabank-Adres readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of Alfabank-Adres’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

Alfabank-Adres relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do Alfabank-Adres analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in Australia include:

  • Australian Bureau of Statistics
  • Australian Taxation Office
  • Australian Securities & Investments Commission

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, Alfabank-Adres’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does Alfabank-Adres forecast its data?

Alfabank-Adres’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

Alfabank-Adres prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

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