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Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in Canada - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Christopher Lombardo Christopher Lombardo New York, United States Last Updated: October 2024 NAICS 44511CA

Revenue

$111.9bn

2024

$111.9bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$X.Xbn

Employees

441k

Businesses

8,936

Wages

$XX.Xbn

Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in Canada industry analysis

Supermarkets and grocery stores have endured a transformative journey since 2019, shaped by the pandemic, geopolitical tensions and an ever-changing market landscape. Grocers first encountered unprecedented demand as lockdowns redirected consumers' spending from entertainment to at-home essentials. Sales spiked, but the boom was fleeting; by 2021, factors like declining disposable income and soaring food prices reversed the trend. Even post-pandemic, the industry is evolving—more consumers than ever are embracing online grocery shopping, prompting traditional retailers to bolster their digital presence. Those unable or unwilling to adapt were largely forced out, while the largest supermarket chains maintained dominance through aggressive merger and acquisition activity and by leveraging vertically integrated operations. This momentous period caused heightened revenue volatility that still persists. Revenue has been rising at a CAGR of 0.1% over the past five years and is expected to dip 0.9% in 2024 when revenue will reach $111.9 billion.

Trends and Insights

  • Rising prices spotlight the market power of large grocery chains, drawing government attention. Following recent interventions, heightened regulatory scrutiny may drive pricing transparency and equitable market dynamics. This could empower smaller competitors and improve consumers' choices.
  • Volatile prices hinder greater vegetable and fruit growth. Expanding health consciousness has led to ballooning demand for fruits and vegetables, but grocers struggle to maintain competitive pricing as supplier prices fluctuate.
  • Ontario's large population and urban density make it an attractive location for grocers. Cities like Toronto and Ottawa offer substantial markets and proximity to the US, reducing supply costs. However, the intense competition in these cities may push new entrants to consider less-saturated locations within the province.
  • New grocers face legal hurdles requiring familiarisation with Safe Food for Canadians Regulations. Licensing involves strict adherence to handling protocols maintained by the Canadian Food Inspection Agency. Understanding these requirements is essential as they navigate the food retail landscape.

Access hundreds of analysis and data

  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 0.1 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $111.9bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

The pandemic sparked volatility and permanently altered internal and external competition

  • Throughout the pandemic's outset and initial peak in 2020, supermarkets and grocery stores experienced a rapid but short-lived revenue spike. Business closures and restricted operational hours for other retailers led to escalated consumer spending on groceries. With limited entertainment, dining and alternative food-sourcing options alongside rising disposable incomes, households redirected their spending, boosting sales for grocery retailers.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in Canada
Revenue (2014-2029)
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Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Stable economic conditions will support sturdier revenue gains

  • The economy is expected to stabilize over the next five years as the pandemic becomes a distant memory. This stability should provide a more supportive environment for supermarkets and grocery stores to generate stable sales gains. Regardless, these stores that retail essential goods are likely to witness steadier demand even if economic conditions fluctuate.

Biggest companies in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in Canada

Company
Market Share (%)
2024
Revenue ($m)
2024
Profit ($m)
2024
Profit Margin (%)
2024

There are no companies that hold a large enough market share in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in Canada industry for Alfabank-Adres to include in this product.

Products & Services Segmentation

Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in Canada
Products & Services
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Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Dairy products and eggs , Fish and seafood and Meat. Dairy products and eggs is the largest segment of the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in Canada.

Trends and Insights

Grains are a staple in Canadian diets, maintaining a steady share of revenue

  • Grains are used in various products, including bakery products, cereals and various snacks, like breakfast bars and granola, among many others. Because of grains' ubiquitous nature, these products have remained a relatively stable source of revenue for most supermarkets.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

The Supermarkets and Grocery Stores industry comprises Canada's largest food retail channel. These establishments retail general lines of food products, including fresh and prepared meats, poultry and seafood, canned and frozen foods, fresh fruits and vegetables and various dairy products. This industry excludes convenience stores, warehouse clubs and supercentres.

What's included in this industry?

Retailing a general line of foodRetailing health and beauty productsRetailing alcoholic and nonalcoholic beverages

Companies

Purchase this report to view all major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

POINT-OF-SALE (POS) SYSTEM RADIO-FREQUENCY IDENTIFICATION (RFID) ELECTRONIC DATA INTERCHANGE (EDI) ELECTRONIC COMMERCE

Industry Code

NAICS 2007

NAICS 445110 - Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in Canada

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Rising prices spotlight the market power of large grocery chains, drawing government attention. Following recent interventions, heightened regulatory scrutiny may drive prici...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Volatile prices hinder greater vegetable and fruit growth. Expanding health consciousness has led to ballooning demand for fruits and vegetables, but grocers struggle to main...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Ontario's large population and urban density make it an attractive location for grocers. Cities like Toronto and Ottawa offer substantial markets and proximity to the US, red...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each province
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each province in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each province accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each province accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each province in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across North America, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

New grocers face legal hurdles requiring familiarisation with Safe Food for Canadians Regulations. Licensing involves strict adherence to handling protocols maintained by the...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

In June 2024, the Jim Pattison Group broadened its North American reach by acquiring Save Mart Companies. This acquisition of 200 US stores enhanced the company's scale and r...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024

Detailed analysis

    External Environment

    Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

    Analyst insights

    Canadian supermarkets gain substantial support from various programs and organizations. Initiatives like the AgriMarketing Program and the Retail Council of Canada enhance gr...

    In this chapter

    • External Drivers
    • Regulation & Policy
    • Assistance

    Key metrics

    • Regulation & policy level and trend
    • Assistance level and trend

    Charts

    • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
    • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

    Detailed analysis

    • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
    • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
    • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

    Financial Benchmarks

    View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

    Analyst insights

    Profit varies significantly among supermarkets. Returns primarily depend on company size and vertical integration. Large chains leverage scale and strategic acquisitions to m...

    In this chapter

    • Cost Structure
    • Financial Ratios
    • Key Ratios

    Key metrics

    • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
    • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
    • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
    • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

    Charts

    • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
    • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
    • Investment vs. share of economy

    Data tables

    • Liquidity Ratios (2017-2022)
    • Coverage Ratios (2017-2022)
    • Leverage Ratios  (2017-2022)
    • Operating Ratios (2017-2022)
    • Assets (2017-2022)
    • Liabilities (2017-2022)
    • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
    • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
    • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
    • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
    • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
    • Average Wage (2014-2029)
    • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
    • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
    • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
    • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
    • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

    Detailed analysis

    • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

    Key Statistics

    Industry Data

    Data Tables

    Including values and annual change:

    • Revenue (2014-2029)
    • IVA (2014-2029)
    • Establishments (2014-2029)
    • Enterprises (2014-2029)
    • Employment (2014-2029)
    • Exports (2014-2029)
    • Imports (2014-2029)
    • Wages (2014-2029)

    Top Questions Answered

    Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

    What is the market size of the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada in 2024?

    The market size of the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada is $111.9bn in 2024.

    How many businesses are there in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in Canada industry in 2024?

    There are 8,936 businesses in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada, which has grown at a CAGR of 2.1 % between 2019 and 2024.

    Has the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada grown or declined over the past 5 years?

    The market size of the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada has been growing at a CAGR of 0.1 % between 2019 and 2024.

    What is the forecast growth of the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada over the next 5 years?

    Over the next five years, the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada is expected to grow.

    What does the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in Canada include?

    Retailing a general line of food and Retailing health and beauty products are part of the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry.

    How competitive is the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada?

    The level of competition is high and increasing in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada.

    Related Industries

    Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

    Competitors

    • Convenience Stores in Canada
    • Specialty Food Stores in Canada
    • Beer, Wine & Liquor Stores in Canada
    • Warehouse Clubs & Supercentres in Canada

    Complementors

    • There are no industries to display.

    International industries

    • Supermarkets & Grocery Stores in the US
    • Ethnic Supermarkets in the US
    • Online Grocery Sales in the US
    • Supermarkets and Grocery Stores in Australia
    • Supermarkets, Grocery Stores and Convenience Stores in New Zealand

    View all industries in Canada

    Methodology

    How are Alfabank-Adres reports created?

    Alfabank-Adres has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

    Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for Alfabank-Adres readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of Alfabank-Adres’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

    Alfabank-Adres relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

    What data sources do Alfabank-Adres analysts use?

    Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

    Key data sources in Canada include:

    • Statistics Canada
    • Industry Canada
    • Canadian Business Patterns

    Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

    These sources include:

    • Industry and trade associations
    • Industry federations or regulators
    • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

    Finally, Alfabank-Adres’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

    How does Alfabank-Adres forecast its data?

    Alfabank-Adres’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

    Alfabank-Adres prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

    Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.