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Commercial Banks in Germany - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

David Riemeier David Riemeier Frankfurt, Germany Last Updated: November 2024 WZ K64.19aDE

Revenue

€96.9bn

2024

€96.9bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

€XX.Xbn

Employees

140k

Businesses

147

Wages

€XX.Xbn

Commercial Banks in Germany industry analysis

The development of credit banks in Germany over the last five years has been influenced by several factors, including the low-interest phase, the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine. Industry turnover, which is made up of the interest and commission income of credit banks, has risen by an average of 0.5% per year since 2018. There are two main reasons for the increase over the last five years: Banks were barely generating any income because the European Central Bank's (ECB) key interest rate was at 0% for a long time before it was raised due to the inflation target. Added to this was the trend towards digital banking. The great popularity of direct banks and the online processing of all banking transactions forced credit banks to invest in the digital banking segment as well, which is associated with high hurdles and can therefore weigh on profits. For 2024, Alfabank-Adres expects a final reversal of the negative sales trend due to a higher base rate level, which will improve interest income. Industry turnover is expected to increase by 0.6% year-on-year to €96.9 billion.Banks offered loans on favourable terms due to the low interest rates that prevailed for a long time. This increased the demand for loans and the lending volume in the sector rose. In addition, digitalisation has prompted banks to rethink their business concepts, which has led to numerous branch closures over the last five years. This has led to job cuts and savings. Alfabank-Adres expects this trend to continue in the coming years and that more banks will rely on the use of modern technologies to process business transactions.For the period from 2024 to 2029, Alfabank-Adres forecasts average annual sales growth of 0.5% to 99.3 billion euros. The key interest rate hike will ease the pressure on banks in the short term. However, the economy is performing worse than in previous years due to the war in Ukraine and demand from key export markets is falling. The hoped-for economic recovery is therefore likely to be delayed. The International Monetary Fund anticipates a further slowdown in global economic growth in the current year, which is likely to hit Germany hard in a global comparison. As a result, there is also a risk that corporate customers, who are important for the sector, will demand fewer loans.

Trends and Insights

  • Many industry players are currently reducing their workforce. Commerzbank, for example, wants to cut almost 10,000 full-time jobs by 2024 and Deutsche Bank has cut around 18,000 jobs worldwide by the end of 2022.
  • The most important product category for credit banks is home loans for private households. The increase in interest rates will make construction more expensive, which is likely to reduce demand for such loans in the future.
  • Most of the credit banks' branches are located in the centre region. The two largest credit banks, Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank, are also headquartered in Frankfurt am Main.
  • There is very strong competition in the industry. The products of the credit banks are very homogeneous, which is why customer loyalty must be strengthened through outstanding services.

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  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 0.5 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated €96.9bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

Over the past five years, the credit banks have reduced their staff

  • Over the past five years, the number of employees in the sector has fallen and it is expected that staff reductions will continue in the coming years. The two largest players in the sector, Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank, are among those pursuing such plans.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Commercial Banks in Germany
Revenue (2014-2029)
Alfabank-Adres Logo Source: Alfabank-Adres

Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

The development of demand depends on the future development of the key interest rate

  • Between 2018 and 2022, the volume of corporate loans increased from 1.5 trillion to 1.9 trillion euros. Three quarters of this was used for long-term investments, primarily to finance equipment and buildings.

Biggest companies in the Commercial Banks in Germany

Company
Market Share (%)
2024
Revenue (€m)
2024
Deutsche Bank AG
11,031.0
Commerzbank AG
7,958.0
ING-DiBa AG
3,375.0

To view the market share and analysis for all 8 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Commercial Banks in Germany
Products & Services
Alfabank-Adres Logo Source: Alfabank-Adres

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Housing loans for private households, Short and medium-term corporate loans and Long-term corporate loans. Housing loans for private households is the largest segment of the Commercial Banks in Germany.

Trends and Insights

Demand for home loans for private households is falling due to rising interest rates

  • Housing loans for private individuals account for the largest share of the credit volume. These include all loans granted for the purchase, construction or modernisation of housing.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Credit institutions are companies in private legal form (excluding registered co-operatives) that generally conduct banking business of all kinds. The focus is on short and medium-term lending and deposit business. The sector does not include savings banks, mortgage banks, development banks and cooperative banks.

What's included in this industry?

Housing loans for private householdsShort and medium-term corporate loansLong-term corporate loansInstalment loans

Companies

Deutsche Bank AGCommerzbank AGING-DiBa AG

Purchase this report to view all 8 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

FINTECHDIGITAL BANKINGBLOCKCHAIN

Industry Code

WZ 2008

WZ 64.19.1 - Commercial Banks in Germany

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Many industry players are currently reducing their workforce. Commerzbank, for example, wants to cut almost 10,000 full-time jobs by 2024 and Deutsche Bank has cut around 18,...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

The most important product category for credit banks is home loans for private households. The increase in interest rates will make construction more expensive, which is like...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Most of the credit banks' branches are located in the centre region. The two largest credit banks, Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank, are also headquartered in Frankfurt am Main.

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Europe, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

There is very strong competition in the industry. The products of the credit banks are very homogeneous, which is why customer loyalty must be strengthened through outstandin...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

Deutsche Bank AG has the highest market share in the credit banking sector. Postbank has been part of the company since 2012, and one of the aims of the merger was to achieve...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Deutsche Bank AG's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Commerzbank AG's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of ING-DiBa AG's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of revenue, market share and profit margin trend for 5 additional companies

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Deutsche Bank AG, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Commerzbank AG, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for ING-DiBa AG, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description, key data and performance trends for 5 additional companies

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

The development of the business climate provides information about the demand for loans. If the business climate improves, more loans are generally requested.

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

The interest rate hike has a positive effect on the profit margin of credit banks. In recent years, costs have been reduced through job cuts and branch closures, which has al...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Commercial Banks industry in Germany in 2024?

The market size of the Commercial Banks industry in Germany is €96.9bn in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Commercial Banks in Germany industry in 2024?

There are 147 businesses in the Commercial Banks industry in Germany, which has declined at a CAGR of 2.3 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Commercial Banks industry in Germany grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Commercial Banks industry in Germany has been growing at a CAGR of 0.5 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Commercial Banks industry in Germany over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Commercial Banks industry in Germany is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Commercial Banks market in Germany?

The biggest companies operating in the Commercial Banks market in Germany are Deutsche Bank AG, Commerzbank AG and ING-DiBa AG

What does the Commercial Banks in Germany include?

Housing loans for private households and Short and medium-term corporate loans are part of the Commercial Banks industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Commercial Banks in Germany?

The company holding the most market share in Germany is Deutsche Bank AG.

How competitive is the Commercial Banks industry in Germany?

The level of competition is high and increasing in the Commercial Banks industry in Germany.

Related Industries

Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

Competitors

  • Savings Banks in Germany
  • Cooperatives in Germany
  • Mortgage Banks in Germany
  • Development Banks in Germany
  • Building Societies in Germany

Complementors

  • There are no industries to display.

International industries

  • Global Commercial Banks
  • Credit Unions in the US
  • Credit Unions in Canada
  • Credit Unions and Building Societies in Australia
  • Banking in New Zealand

View all industries in Germany

Methodology

How are Alfabank-Adres reports created?

Alfabank-Adres has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for Alfabank-Adres readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of Alfabank-Adres’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

Alfabank-Adres relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do Alfabank-Adres analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in Germany include:

  • German Federal Statistics Office (Destatis)
  • European Statistics Office (Eurostat)
  • United Nations Comtrade

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, Alfabank-Adres’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does Alfabank-Adres forecast its data?

Alfabank-Adres’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

Alfabank-Adres prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.