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Grain Growing in New Zealand - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Jayson Cooke Jayson Cooke Melbourne, Australia Last Updated: September 2024 ANZSIC A0149NZ

Revenue

$768.2m

2024-25

$768.2m

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XXX.Xm

Employees

908

Businesses

450

Wages

$XX.Xm

Grain Growing in New Zealand industry analysis

The Grain Growing industry produces a variety of cereal grain crops, including wheat, barley, maize, oats and other grains. Fluctuating rainfall and grain prices have created a challenging operating environment, with revenue slumping in 2023-24 due to poor rainfall. Furthermore, regional factors, including high farm costs and forestry-focused land conversions, have negatively affected cattle herds. This has reduced demand from the downstream livestock market, particularly for wheat. However, grain's significant role in food manufacturing has supported the industry. Increasing demand for healthier and sustainably processed products like gluten-free and whole-grain bread, as well as emerging markets like craft beers, have boosted demand for grains – especially for barley, maize, oats and buckwheat. Overall, industry revenue has seen a mixed performance over the past five years. Despite yearly fluctuations, revenue is expected to remain at the same level it was at five years ago, totalling $768.2 million in 2024-25. This trend includes an anticipated jump of 4.7% in 2024-25.

Trends and Insights

  • The industry has navigated mixed conditions, with fluctuating rainfall and grain prices. However, the industry's indispensable role in food manufacturing ensures a solid demand base, maintaining revenue.
  • Wheat accounts for the largest share of revenue, at just under half the industry’s market share. However, diminished domestic rainfall in 2022-23 has seen its revenue share decrease.
  • Canterbury is the primary region for grain growing in New Zealand, responsible for over half the country's grain farms. This is mainly due to its ideal dry summer climate, which is optimal for grain growth.
  • When local grain is scarce or prices are high, downstream markets often turn to grain imports. Wheat from Australia often fills the gap, due to the country’s proximity and free trade agreements with New Zealand.

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  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 0.0 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $768.2m in 2024.

Trends and Insights

Unstable weather, especially rainfall, have driven crop yield fluctuations and revenue volatility

  • Weather fluctuations directly influence crop yields, particularly grain. Too little or too much rainfall can harm grain crops, while extended dry or hot phases can degrade crop quality. Recent fluctuations in rainfall have contributed to revenue volatility: industry revenue slumped following poor rainfall levels in 2023-24.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Grain Growing in New Zealand
Revenue (2014-2029)
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Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Healthy eating trends and initiatives are set to boost demand for grain

  • Many New Zealanders view whole grains as an essential part of a healthy diet, so grain growers will benefit from any moves to promote the health benefits of grain consumption.

Biggest companies in the Grain Growing in New Zealand

Company
Market Share (%)
2025
Revenue ($short_0)
2025

There are no companies that hold a large enough market share in the Grain Growing in New Zealand industry for Alfabank-Adres to include in this product.

Products & Services Segmentation

Grain Growing in New Zealand
Products & Services
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Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Wheat, Barley and Oats. Wheat is the largest segment of the Grain Growing in New Zealand.

Trends and Insights

Rainfall levels have weakened wheat’s revenue share despite high global prices

  • Wheat is typically milled into flour and forms the foundation for various foods like bread, noodles, pasta, biscuits, cakes, crackers, sauces and confectionery.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Industry operators primarily grow wheat, cereal and coarse grains (excluding rice). Operators also grow oilseeds, pasture seeds, lupins, and field peas or beans.

What's included in this industry?

BarleyWheatMaizeOatsSorghumMilletTriticaleRyeBuckwheatQuinoa

Companies

Purchase this report to view all major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

MAIZETHRESHINGBARLEY

Industry Code

ANZSIC 2006

ANZSIC 0149 - Grain Growing in New Zealand

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

The industry has navigated mixed conditions, with fluctuating rainfall and grain prices. However, the industry's indispensable role in food manufacturing ensures a solid dema...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Wheat accounts for the largest share of revenue, at just under half the industry’s market share. However, diminished domestic rainfall in 2022-23 has seen its revenue share d...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets
  • International Trade

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level
  • Total imports, level and trend
  • Total exports, level and trend
  • Trade Balance

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024
  • International trade, including imports by country and exports by country

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services
  • Recent trends in import and export volumes, country of origin or destination, and expected future trends

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Canterbury is the primary region for grain growing in New Zealand, responsible for over half the country's grain farms. This is mainly due to its ideal dry summer climate, wh...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

When local grain is scarce or prices are high, downstream markets often turn to grain imports. Wheat from Australia often fills the gap, due to the country’s proximity and fr...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

Most grain growers are small family-owned enterprises that operate from a single farm. That’s why the Grain Growing industry has no companies that account for over 5.0% of in...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024

Detailed analysis

    External Environment

    Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

    Analyst insights

    Grain growers are subject to environmental regulations concerning water, fertiliser and pesticide usage, wastewater generation, and treatment of waste arising from grain produ...

    In this chapter

    • External Drivers
    • Regulation & Policy
    • Assistance

    Key metrics

    • Regulation & policy level and trend
    • Assistance level and trend

    Charts

    • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
    • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

    Detailed analysis

    • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
    • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
    • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

    Financial Benchmarks

    View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

    Analyst insights

    Adverse weather conditions and the Russia-Ukraine conflict have raised grain prices, boosting profit for New Zealand's grain farmers. However, escalating costs for essential ...

    In this chapter

    • Cost Structure
    • Financial Ratios
    • Key Ratios

    Key metrics

    • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
    • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
    • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
    • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

    Charts

    • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
    • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
    • Investment vs. share of economy

    Data tables

    • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
    • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
    • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
    • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
    • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
    • Average Wage (2014-2029)
    • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
    • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
    • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
    • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
    • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

    Detailed analysis

    • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

    Key Statistics

    Industry Data

    Data Tables

    Including values and annual change:

    • Revenue (2014-2029)
    • IVA (2014-2029)
    • Establishments (2014-2029)
    • Enterprises (2014-2029)
    • Employment (2014-2029)
    • Exports (2014-2029)
    • Imports (2014-2029)
    • Wages (2014-2029)

    Top Questions Answered

    Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

    What is the market size of the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand in 2024?

    The market size of the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand is $768.2m in 2024.

    How many businesses are there in the Grain Growing in New Zealand industry in 2024?

    There are 450 businesses in the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand, which has declined at a CAGR of 0.3 % between 2019 and 2024.

    Has the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand grown or declined over the past 5 years?

    The market size of the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand has been growing at a CAGR of 0.0 % between 2019 and 2024.

    What is the forecast growth of the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand over the next 5 years?

    Over the next five years, the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand is expected to grow.

    What does the Grain Growing in New Zealand include?

    Barley and Wheat are part of the Grain Growing industry.

    How competitive is the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand?

    The level of competition is moderate and increasing in the Grain Growing industry in New Zealand.

    Related Industries

    Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

    Competitors

    • There are no industries to display.

    Complementors

    • There are no industries to display.

    International industries

    • Soybean Farming in the US
    • Oilseed Farming in the US
    • Corn Farming in the US
    • Wheat, Barley & Sorghum Farming in the US
    • Soybean Farming in Canada

    View all industries in New Zealand

    Methodology

    How are Alfabank-Adres reports created?

    Alfabank-Adres has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

    Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for Alfabank-Adres readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of Alfabank-Adres’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

    Alfabank-Adres relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

    What data sources do Alfabank-Adres analysts use?

    Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

    Key data sources in New Zealand include:

    • Statistics New Zealand
    • New Zealand Company Register
    • Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment

    Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

    These sources include:

    • Industry and trade associations
    • Industry federations or regulators
    • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

    Finally, Alfabank-Adres’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

    How does Alfabank-Adres forecast its data?

    Alfabank-Adres’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

    Alfabank-Adres prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

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