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Milk and Cream Processing in New Zealand - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Matthew Reeves Matthew Reeves Melbourne, Australia Last Updated: April 2024 ANZSIC C1131NZ

Revenue

$1.6bn

2024-25

$1.7bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XX.Xm

Employees

2,166

Businesses

34

Wages

$XXX.Xm

Milk and Cream Processing in New Zealand industry analysis

Milk and cream processors are benefiting from significant export demand growth. Rising incomes in Asia are boosting demand for non-powdered milk and cream, with notable price premiums in export markets supporting milk and cream processors' goods. Increasing sales of high-value food service and consumer goods in the domestic market are also benefiting milk and cream processors. Revenue is expected to have increased at an average annual rate of 4.5% over the five years through 2023-24, reaching an estimated $1.6 billion. This trend includes an anticipated dip of 0.5% in 2023-24. Climbing export prices are offsetting diminishing export volumes as raw milk production drops.

Trends and Insights

  • Milk and cream exports have skyrocketed over the past decade. Export revenue, derived largely from China, now accounts for close to 90.0% of revenue.
  • Cream is the largest product segment for milk and cream processors. Overseas sales have skyrocketed, supported by Westland Dairy’s development of a whipping cream designed to more closely align with Chinese consumers’ tastes and preferences.
  • Proximity to dairy farms is a key determinant of milk and cream processor locations. Waikato and Canterbury are among the largest dairy cattle farming regions of New Zealand and account for over 40.0% of milk and cream processors.
  • Milk and cream processing is moderately concentrated. Fonterra dominates production, accounting for over half the industry’s revenue alone. Fonterra is owned by a cooperative of dairy farmers that supply it with most of the nation’s milk.

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  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 4.5 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $1.6bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

International trade is skyrocketing for milk and cream processors

  • Milk and cream processors are highly exposed to international trade, with export markets accounting for almost 90.0% of revenue in 2023-24. China is the largest market, accounting for approximately 80.0% of exports. Taiwan and Malaysia are the second- and third-largest markets, respectively.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Milk and Cream Processing in New Zealand
Revenue (2014-2029)
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Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Government regulations may hamper the milk supply available to processors

  • The New Zealand Government (Te Kawanatanga o Aotearoa) has policies to combat climate change, including a target for the agriculture sector to cut carbon emissions by between 24.0% and 47.0% from 2017 levels by 2050. However, the new government is set to scrap plans for a tax on agriculture emissions.

Biggest companies in the Milk and Cream Processing in New Zealand

Company
Market Share (%)
2024
Revenue ($m)
2024
Fonterra Co-op Group
917.5
Goodman Fielder
48.7

To view the market share and analysis for all 2 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Milk and Cream Processing in New Zealand
Products & Services
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Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Whole milk, Reduced-fat milk and UHT milk. Whole milk is the largest segment of the Milk and Cream Processing in New Zealand.

Trends and Insights

Cream sales to Asia have taken off over the past decade

  • The cream segment includes thickened, whipped, UHT and long-life cream, but excludes canned cream.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Operators in the industry process raw milk. Processes include pasteurising milk and separating it to produce milk and cream with varying fat content.

What's included in this industry?

Whole milkReduced-fat milkLactose-free milkUHT milkCream

Companies

Fonterra Co-op GroupGoodman Fielder

Purchase this report to view all 2 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

UHTPASTEURISED MILKORGANIC MILK

Industry Code

ANZSIC 2006

ANZSIC 1131 - Milk and Cream Processing in New Zealand

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Milk and cream exports have skyrocketed over the past decade. Export revenue, derived largely from China, now accounts for close to 90.0% of revenue.

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Cream is the largest product segment for milk and cream processors. Overseas sales have skyrocketed, supported by Westland Dairy’s development of a whipping cream designed to...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets
  • International Trade

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level
  • Total imports, level and trend
  • Total exports, level and trend
  • Trade Balance

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024
  • International trade, including imports by country and exports by country

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services
  • Recent trends in import and export volumes, country of origin or destination, and expected future trends

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Proximity to dairy farms is a key determinant of milk and cream processor locations. Waikato and Canterbury are among the largest dairy cattle farming regions of New Zealand ...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Milk and cream processing is moderately concentrated. Fonterra dominates production, accounting for over half the industry’s revenue alone. Fonterra is owned by a cooperative...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

Foreign companies have increased their stake in local milk and cream processors over the past decade. Wilmar International gradually acquired full ownership of Goodman Fielde...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Fonterra Co-op Group's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Goodman Fielder's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Fonterra Co-op Group, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Goodman Fielder, and factors influencing its performance in the industry

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

Milk and cream processors are regulated by the Australia New Zealand Joint Food Standards Code. The code establishes standards for food health and safety and labelling requir...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Wages are declining as a share of revenue. Large and medium milk and cream processors have increasingly automated their production processes over the past few years.

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Milk and Cream Processing industry in New Zealand in 2024?

The market size of the Milk and Cream Processing industry in New Zealand is $1.6bn in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Milk and Cream Processing in New Zealand industry in 2024?

There are 34 businesses in the Milk and Cream Processing industry in New Zealand, which has grown at a CAGR of 2.5 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Milk and Cream Processing industry in New Zealand grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Milk and Cream Processing industry in New Zealand has been growing at a CAGR of 4.5 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Milk and Cream Processing industry in New Zealand over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Milk and Cream Processing industry in New Zealand is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Milk and Cream Processing market in New Zealand?

The biggest companies operating in the Milk and Cream Processing market in New Zealand are Fonterra Co-op Group and Goodman Fielder

What does the Milk and Cream Processing in New Zealand include?

Whole milk and Reduced-fat milk are part of the Milk and Cream Processing industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Milk and Cream Processing in New Zealand?

The company holding the most market share in New Zealand is Fonterra Co-op Group.

How competitive is the Milk and Cream Processing industry in New Zealand?

The level of competition is high and increasing in the Milk and Cream Processing industry in New Zealand.

Related Industries

Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

Competitors

  • There are no industries to display.

Complementors

  • Dairy Cattle Farming in New Zealand
  • Ice Cream Manufacturing in New Zealand
  • Cheese, Butter and Milk Powder Manufacturing in New Zealand
  • Tea, Coffee and Other Food Manufacturing in New Zealand

International industries

  • Global Milk & Cream Manufacturing
  • Dairy Product Production in the US
  • Soy & Almond Milk Production in the US
  • Dairy Product Production in Canada
  • Milk and Cream Processing in Australia

View all industries in New Zealand

Methodology

How are Alfabank-Adres reports created?

Alfabank-Adres has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for Alfabank-Adres readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of Alfabank-Adres’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

Alfabank-Adres relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do Alfabank-Adres analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in New Zealand include:

  • Statistics New Zealand
  • New Zealand Company Register
  • Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, Alfabank-Adres’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does Alfabank-Adres forecast its data?

Alfabank-Adres’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

Alfabank-Adres prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.