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Petroleum Refining in the US - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Matthew Pigott Matthew Pigott New York, United States Last Updated: March 2024 NAICS 32411

Revenue

$689.7bn

2024

$689.7bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XX.Xbn

Employees

60,924

Businesses

76

Wages

$X.Xbn

Petroleum Refining in the US industry analysis

The Petroleum Refining industry has experienced volatile conditions in recent years. Crude oil is the primary input cost for refiners in the United States. Attributable to its sensitivity to microeconomic and macroeconomic factors including volatile production, demand and health of global economies, crude oil is a highly volatile commodity. As petroleum refiners pass along these prices to customers, industry returns see similar volatility. With overall rising crude oil prices, over the five years through 2024, industry revenue is expected to have rose at a CAGR of 0.8% to an estimated $689.7 billion, including a projected 1.0% increase in 2024 alone.

Trends and Insights

  • Increases in the world price of crude oil have drove industry revenue growth as petroleum refiners have passed along input costs. Rapid increases in demand following the height of the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine have drove up the price of oil.
  • Conventional gasoline is the most demanded and valuable refined petroleum product. Gasoline is the primary fuel source for most passenger cars.
  • Texas is the leading state for oil refining. Minimal regulation and its geographic location by the Permian Basin make it a lucrative site for refineries.
  • Price is the main basis of competition in this industry. Refineries compete to obtain inexpensive crude oil, as it is the primary input for all refined petroleum products.

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  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 0.8 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $689.7bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

The COVID-19 pandemic impacted revenue

  • The COVID-19 pandemic significantly drove down petroleum refining revenue in 2020 as many businesses were forced to close operations and stay-at-home orders were enforced. Less fuel was demanded for production and transportation.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Petroleum Refining in the US
Revenue (2014-2029)
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Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

The US will continue to be the global leader in oil production

  • Over the coming years, the US is set to continue to be a global leader in oil production. In 2023, the US produced more crude oil than any country, ever, and will not likely see any sudden halt to production over the next five years. This will provide an engine for growing demand for US petroleum refining moving forward.

Biggest companies in the Petroleum Refining in the US

Company
Market Share (%)
2024
Revenue ($m)
2024
Profit ($m)
2024
Profit Margin (%)
2024
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
139,924.4
4,569.7
3.3
Valero Energy Corp
106,777.4
1,840.7
1.7
Exxon Mobil Corporation
96,858.5
2,288.1
2.4

To view the market share and analysis for all 14 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Petroleum Refining in the US
Products & Services
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Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Gasoline, Diesel and Jet fuel. Gasoline is the largest segment of the Petroleum Refining in the US.

Trends and Insights

Conventional gasoline is the most demanded and valuable refined petroleum product

  • Gasoline is the primary fuel source for most passenger cars. Passenger cars contain gasoline engines that generate power by igniting premixed fuel and air.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Industry operators refine crude oil into petroleum products. Petroleum refining involves one or more of activities including fractionation, straight distillation of crude oil and cracking. This industry does not include companies that extract crude oil or retail gasoline.

What's included in this industry?

Gasoline productionKerosene productionDistillate fuel oil (diesel fuel) productionAviation fuel productionResidual fuel oil productionLubricant productionProducing aliphatic and aromatic chemicals as byproducts

Companies

Marathon Petroleum CorporationValero Energy CorpExxon Mobil Corporation

Purchase this report to view all 14 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

GASOLINEDIESELDISTILLATION UNITREFINING MARGINETHANOLBARRELSPOT MARKET

Industry Code

NAICS 2017

NAICS 32411 - Petroleum Refining in the US

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Increases in the world price of crude oil have drove industry revenue growth as petroleum refiners have passed along input costs. Rapid increases in demand following the heig...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Conventional gasoline is the most demanded and valuable refined petroleum product. Gasoline is the primary fuel source for most passenger cars.

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets
  • International Trade

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level
  • Total imports, level and trend
  • Total exports, level and trend
  • Trade Balance

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024
  • International trade, including imports by country and exports by country

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services
  • Recent trends in import and export volumes, country of origin or destination, and expected future trends

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Texas is the leading state for oil refining. Minimal regulation and its geographic location by the Permian Basin make it a lucrative site for refineries.

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each state
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each state in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each state accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each state accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each state in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across North America, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Price is the main basis of competition in this industry. Refineries compete to obtain inexpensive crude oil, as it is the primary input for all refined petroleum products.

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

The largest four companies make up over 75.0% of market share. Marathon Petroleum Corporation accounts for over 20.% of the industry alone.

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Marathon Petroleum Corporation's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Valero Energy Corp's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Exxon Mobil Corporation's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of revenue, market share and profit margin trend for 11 additional companies

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Marathon Petroleum Corporation, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Valero Energy Corp, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Exxon Mobil Corporation, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description, key data and performance trends for 11 additional companies

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

Refineries can treat 50.0% of infrastructure costs as an expense. This is in addition to various tax incentives for infrastructure investments.

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Purchase costs account for the largest share of industry revenue. Crude oil is an essential component of all refined petroleum products. Refiners typically purchase different...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Industry Multiples (2017-2022)
  • Industry Tax Structure (2017-2022)
  • Income Statement (2017-2022)
  • Balance Sheet (2017-2022)
  • Liquidity Ratios (2017-2022)
  • Coverage Ratios (2017-2022)
  • Leverage Ratios  (2017-2022)
  • Operating Ratios (2017-2022)
  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Petroleum Refining in the US industry in United States in 2024?

The market size of the Petroleum Refining in the US industry in United States is $689.7bn in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Petroleum Refining in the US industry in 2024?

There are 76 businesses in the Petroleum Refining in the US industry in United States, which has declined at a CAGR of 1.7 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Petroleum Refining in the US industry in United States grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Petroleum Refining in the US industry in United States has been growing at a CAGR of 0.8 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Petroleum Refining in the US industry in United States over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Petroleum Refining in the US industry in United States is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Petroleum Refining in the US market in United States?

The biggest companies operating in the Petroleum Refining market in United States are Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Valero Energy Corp and Exxon Mobil Corporation

What does the Petroleum Refining in the US in United States include?

Gasoline production and Kerosene production are part of the Petroleum Refining in the US industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Petroleum Refining in the US in United States?

The company holding the most market share in United States is Marathon Petroleum Corporation.

How competitive is the Petroleum Refining in the US industry in United States?

The level of competition is high and steady in the Petroleum Refining in the US industry in United States.

Related Industries

Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

Competitors

  • There are no industries to display.

Complementors

  • Asphalt Manufacturing in the US
  • Lubricant Oil Manufacturing in the US
  • Oil Pipeline Transportation in the US
  • Refined Petroleum Pipeline Transportation in the US

International industries

  • Petroleum Refining in Canada
  • Petroleum Refining and Petroleum Fuel Manufacturing in Australia
  • Petroleum Refining in the UK
  • Oil & Petroleum Refining in China

View all industries in United States

Methodology

How are Alfabank-Adres reports created?

Alfabank-Adres has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for Alfabank-Adres readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of Alfabank-Adres’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

Alfabank-Adres relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do Alfabank-Adres analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in the US include: 

  • US Census Bureau
  • US Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • US International Trade Commission

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, Alfabank-Adres’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does Alfabank-Adres forecast its data?

Alfabank-Adres’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

Alfabank-Adres prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

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